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中电联: 2021年全国电力供需形势预测
发表日期: 2020-03-22 浏览次数: 字体:
 

  (YI)2021NIANQUANSHEHUIYONGDIANLIANGZENGZHANG6%-7%

  2021NIAN,SHIWOGUOSHISHI“SHISIWU”GUIHUAKAIJUZHINIAN、QUANMIANJIANSHESHEHUIZHUYIXIANDAIHUAGUOJIAXINZHENGCHENGKAIQIZHINIAN。ZAIXINDEGUONEIWAIHUANJINGXINGSHIXIA,WOGUOMIANLINDEJIYUYUTIAOZHANBINGCUN,ZONGHEKAOLVGUONEIWAIJINGJIXINGSHI、DIANNENGTIDAI、SHANGNIANDIJISHUDENGYINSU,YIJIYIQINGHEWAIBUHUANJINGCUNZAIDEBUQUEDINGXING,YUJI2021NIANQUANSHEHUIYONGDIANLIANGZENGSUQIANGAOHOUDI,QUANNIANZENGZHANG6%-7%。

  (ER)FEIHUASHINENGYUANFADIANZHUANGJIBIZHONGJIXUTIGAO

  YUJI2021NIANQUANGUOJIJIANXINZENGFADIANZHUANGJIRONGLIANG1.8YIQIANWAZUOYOU,QIZHONGFEIHUASHINENGYUANFADIANZHUANGJITOUCHAN1.4YIQIANWAZUOYOU。YUJI2021NIANDIQUANGUOFADIANZHUANGJIRONGLIANG23.7YIQIANWA,TONGBIZENGZHANG7.7%ZUOYOU。FEIHUASHINENGYUANFADIANZHUANGJIRONGLIANGDADAO11.2YIQIANWAZUOYOU,ZHANZONGZHUANGJIRONGLIANGBIZHONGSHANGSHENGZHI47.3%,BI2020NIANDITIGAO2.5GEBAIFENDIANZUOYOU。FENGDIANHETAIYANGNENGFADIANZHUANGJIBIZHONGBI2020NIANDITIGAO3GEBAIFENDIANZUOYOU,DUIDIANLIXITONGLINGHUOXINGDIAOJIENENGLIDEXUQIUJINYIBUZENGJIA。

  (SAN)QUANGUODIANLIGONGXUZONGTIPINGHENG,JUBUDIQUDIANLIGONGYINGPIANJIN

  YUJI2021NIANQUANGUODIANLIGONGXUZONGTIPINGHENG、JUBUDIQUGAOFENGSHIDUANDIANLIGONGYINGPIANJINSHENZHIJINZHANG。FENQUYUKAN,DONGBEI、XIBEIDIANLIGONGYINGCUNZAIFUYU;HUADONGDIANLIGONGXUPINGHENG;HUABEIDIANLIGONGYINGPIANJIN,QIZHONG,HEBEIHESHANDONGDIANLIGONGYINGPIANJIN,TONGGUOKUASHENGQUDIANLIZHIYUAN,KEJIBENBAOZHANGDIANLIGONGYING,NEIMENGGUXIBUDIANWANGDIANLIGONGYINGPIANJIN,ZAIFENGDIANCHULIRUIJIANSHI,DUOGEYUEFENJIANGKENENGXUYAOCAIQUYOUXUYONGDIANCUOSHI;HUAZHONGDIANLIGONGXUJINZHANG,ZHUYAOSHIHUNANYONGDIANGAOFENGSHIDUANDIANLIGONGYINGJINZHANG,JIDUANQIHOUQINGKUANGXIAHUBEI、JIANGXIKENENGCHUXIANYIDINGDIANLIQUEKOU;NANFANGQUYUDIANLIGONGXUJINZHANG,QIZHONG,GUANGDONG、YUNNAN、GUANGXIJUNCUNZAIJIAODACUOFENGXIANDIANFENGXIAN。

  SAN、YOUGUANJIANYI

  DANGQIAN,ZAIGUOJIAJIAKUAIGOUJIANYIGUONEIDAXUNHUANWEIZHUTI、GUONEIGUOJISHUANGXUNHUANXIANGHUCUJINDEXINFAZHANGEJUBEIJINGXIA,ZAI“ZHONGGUOERYANGHUATANPAIFANGLIZHENG2030NIANQIANDADAOFENGZHI,NULIZHENGQU2060NIANQIANSHIXIANTANZHONGHE”DEMUBIAOYAOQIUXIA,YIFANGMIAN,DIANLIXINGYEYAOBAOZHANGDIANLIANQUANKEKAOGONGYING,YIMANZUGUOMINJINGJIFAZHANMUBIAOYIJIRENMINSHENGHUOYONGDIANXUQIU;LINGYIFANGMIAN,DIANLIXINGYEXUJIAKUAIQINGJIEDITANGONGYINGJIEGOUZHUANXINGJINCHENG,SHIXIANTANJIANPAIMUBIAO。JIEHEDANGQIANDIANLIGONGXUXINGSHIHEXINGYEFAZHANQUSHI,TICHURUXIAJIANYI:

  (YI)BAOZHANGDIANLIGONGXUPINGHENGHEANQUANWENDINGYUNXING

  2020NIANRUDONGYILAI,SHOUHONGGUANJINGJICHIXUHUINUANYIJIDIWENHANCHAOTIANQIDENGDUOZHONGYINSUDIEJIAYINGXIANG,DIANLIXIAOFEIXUQIUKUAISUZENGZHANG,BUFENSHENGFENZAIYONGDIANGAOFENGSHIDUANDIANLIGONGYINGJINZHANG,CHUXIANYOUXUYONGDIANXIANXIANG。WEIBAOZHANGDIANLIANQUANKEKAOGONGYING,JIUDIANLIRANLIAOGONGYING、DIANWANGJIEGOU、XUQIUXIANGYINGDENGFANGMIANTICHUYIXIAJIANYI:

  YISHIBAOZHANGDIANLIRANLIAOGONGYING。QIESHILUOSHIGUOJIAGUANYUMEITANDEBAOGONGWENJIACUOSHI。ZENGJIAGUONEIMEITANGONGYING,DUIYUANQUANTIAOJIANHAOQIEJUBEISHENGCHANNENGLIDEMEIKUANG,ZAIBAOGONGDEGUANJIANSHIQIANZHAOZUIDACHANNENGANPAISHENGCHANJIHUA。JIXUJIADAXIANJINCHANNENGDESHIFANGLIDU,JINYIBUZENGJIAGUONEIMEITANCHANNENGCHUBEI,YIYINGDUIJINGJICHIXUFUSUYIJIJIJIEXINGQIHOUBIANHUADENGDUIMEITANXIAOFEIXUQIUDEZENGJIA。JINYIBUZENGJIAJINKOUMEIPEIEZHIBIAO,YUNXUYIDIBAOGUAN,JIASUTONGGUANFANGXING,KUAISUYOUXIAOBUCHONGGUONEIGONGYING,SHIFANGYOULIYUSHICHANGWENDINGDEXINHAO。JIADADIANMEIZHONGZHANGQIHETONGLVYUEZHIXINGJIANGUANLIDU,DUIYUGUYIBULVXINGHUOSHAOLVXINGDIANMEIZHONGZHANGQIHETONGDENGXINGWEIYAOANZHAOYOUGUANGUIDINGYANSUCHACHU。

  ERSHIJINYIBUYOUHUADIANWANGYUNXINGFANGSHI,QIANGHUADIANWANGFENGXIANYUKONG。MIQIEGENZONGJINGJIZOUSHI、DIANLIXUQIU、TIANQIBIANHUAHELIANPAIDIANWANGYUNXINGFANGSHI,JIAQIANGDIANWANGYUNXINGFANGSHIHEDIANLIDIANLIANGPINGHENGXIEDIAO。TUIDONGJIANLIKUASHENGKUAQUBEIYONGFUZHUFUWUSHICHANG,QIANGHUAKUASHENGKUAQUJIAOYIZUZHIBAOZHANG,CHONGFENYINGYONGKUAQUKUASHENGSHUDIANTONGDAONENGLI。DUIGEZHONGQINGXINGXIADIANWANGGONGDIANNENGLIJINXINGFENGXIANPINGGU,BINGGENJUJIEGUOZHIDINGHELIDEJIEJUECUOSHI。

  SANSHIJIAKUAIGOUJIANDAGUIMOYUANWANGHECHUYOUHAOHUDONGXITONG。JIAQIANGYUANWANGHECHUXIETONGHUDONG,DUIDIANLIROUXINGFUHEJINXINGCELVEYINDAOHEJIZHONGKONGZHI,CHONGFENLIYONGYONGHUCEZIYUAN,HUAJIEDUANSHIDIANLIGONGXUMAODUN。TONGGUOYUANWANGHECHUXIETONGHUDONGDEZHENGTIJIEJUEFANGAN,ZENGQIANGDIANWANGROUXINGDIAOJIENENGLI,BINGJIYUROUXINGSHUDIANJISHUJIAQIANGDIANWANGDANXING,TISHENGDUITEDAZIRANZAIHAI、SHIGUZAINANDENGJIDUANQINGKUANGDECHENGSHOUHEHUIFUNENGLI。

  (ER)TUIJINNENGYUANDIANLIGONGYINGJIEGOUDITANZHUANXING

  “SHISIWU”SHIGUOJIAGOUJIANXINFAZHANGEJUHENENGYUANDIANLIJIEGOUZHUANXINGDEGUANJIANQI,WEIBAOZHANGSHIXIANGUOJIATANPAIFANGMUBIAO,CUJINDIANLIXINGYEDITANZHUANXING,JIUGUIHUAZHIDING、DIANYUANFAZHAN、YONGNENGZHONGDUANDENGFANGMIANTICHUYIXIAJIANYI:

  YISHIJIANCHIXITONGGUANNIAN,TONGCHOUGUIHUADIANLIXINGYEGEHUANJIEYOUXUFAZHAN。TONGCHOUKAOLVGELEIDIANYUANZHONGZHANGQIGUIHUA、WANGYUANGUIHUAYIJIDIANLIXINGYENEIBUCHANYELIANTIAODEJINMIJIEXU,JIANGGUOJIAQINGJIENENGYUANZHANLVEGENGHAORONGRUDIANLIGUIHUADINGCENGSHEJI,TUIDONGDIANLIGUIHUACONGGONGYINGCE、SHUDIANWANGXIANGPEIWANGCE、YONGHUDUANYANSHEN。ZAIYONGHUCEHEPEIDIANWANGJINMIOUHEDEQUSHIXIA,YIKEHUXUQIUWEIDAOXIANG,TONGGUOKAIZHANPEIDIANWANGCHAYIHUAGUIHUALAIMANZUZHONGDUANYONGNENGXUQIU。

  ERSHITUIDONGMEIDIANFADIANLIANGJINZAODAFENG。TONGCHOUYOUXUTUIJINMEIDIANGUIHUASHISHI,YOULIFAHUIDIANLIXITONGMEIDIANBAODIDEZHICHENGZUOYONG。GENJUQUYUMEIDIANJIZUDETEDIANYIJIZAIXITONGDIAOJIEZHONGDEZUOYONGHEDIWEI,TUIJINJIZULINGHUOXINGGAIZAO,JIAKUAIMEIDIANXIANGDIANLIANGHEDIANLIDIAOJIEXINGDIANYUANZHUANHUAN。KAIZHANMEIDIANJIZUYANSHOU、XIANGGUANPEITAOZHENGCEDEXITONGYANJIU。

  SANSHIBAOZHANGGAOBILIXINNENGYUANXIAONA。YINDIZHIYIFAZHANXINNENGYUAN,ZONGHEGEDIZIYUANTIAOJIAN、DIANWANGTIAOJIAN、FUHESHUIPINGDENGYINSUYOUHUAKEZAISHENGNENGYUANXIANGMUKAIFASHIXU,JIANCHIJIZHONGSHIHEFENBUSHIBINGJUKAIFAXINNENGYUAN。CHIXUYOUHUAXINNENGYUANFAZHANBUJU,FENGDIANHEGUANGFUFADIANJINYIBUXIANGZHONGDONGBUDIQUHENANFANGDIQUYOUHUABUJU,ZAIDONGBUDIQUJIANLIDUONENGHUBUNENGYUANTIXI,ZAIXIBUBEIBUDIQUJIADAFENGNENG、TAIYANGNENGZIYUANGUIMOHUA、JIYUEHUAKAIFALIDU。TIGAOXINNENGYUANZAIDIANWANGDESHENTOULV,DUIYUXINNENGYUANXIAONAKUNNANDEDIQU,KEKAOLVBUFEN60WANQIANWAYALINJIEMEIDIANJIZUJINXINGLINGHUOXINGGAIZAOCANYUSHENDUDIAOFENG。JIAKUAIKUASHENGKUAQUDIANLITONGDAODEJIANSHE,YOUXIAOFAHUIDADIANWANGZONGHEPINGHENGNENGLI,CUJINXINNENGYUANFADIANXIAONA。LADAFENGGUFENSHIDIANJIACHA,DIAODONGGELEIFUHECEZIYUANCANYUXITONGDIAOJIE,CUJINXUQIUCEZHUDONGXIANGYINGXINNENGYUANCHULIBIANHUA。

  (SAN)JIANLIJIANQUANSHICHANGJIZHIHEZHENGCETIXIBAOZHANGDIANLIDITANZHUANXING

  “SHISIWU”QIJIAN,XINNENGYUANXIAONA、MEIDIANZHUANXINGDOUJIANGMIANLINGENGDUOTIAOZHAN,WEIBAOZHANGWOGUODIANLIJIASUDITANZHUANXING,JIUDIANJIAXINGCHENGJIZHI、ZHONGZHANGQISHICHANG、XIANHUOSHICHANG、TANSHICHANGDENGSHICHANGZHANGXIAOJIZHIFANGMIANTICHUYIXIAJIANYI:

  YISHILISHUNSHICHANGHUANJINGXIADIANJIAXINGCHENGJIZHI。YIDIERLUNSHUPEIDIANJIAHEDINGWEIQIJI,LISHUNSHICHANGDIANJIAXINGCHENGJIZHI,JIANG“JIACHA”MOSHIGUODUDAO“SHUNJIA”MOSHI。ZONGJIESHICHANGDIANJIAJIESUANJINGYAN,YANJIUXIANGGUANCUOSHIKUODASHICHANGFENGGUJIACHA,YINRURONGLIANGBUCHANGJIZHI,CUJINBUTONGLEIXINGJIZUJINRUSHICHANG,SHIJIAGEJIZHIMANZUXIANHUOSHICHANGYAOQIU。

  ERSHIJIAQIANGZHONGZHANGQISHICHANGHEXIANHUOSHICHANGDEXIEDIAO。HELIQUEDINGZHONGZHANGQIHETONGZAIXIANHUOSHICHANGDEJIAOGEFANGSHIJIZHONGZHANGQIJIAOYIQUXIAN,CUJINZHONGZHANGQISHICHANGHEXIANHUOSHICHANGYOUXIAOXIANJIE。JINKUAIWANSHANWAILAIDIAN、YOUXIANFAGOUDIANQUANCANYUSHICHANGJIAOYIGUIZE,MINGXIBUPINGHENGZIJINDINGYI、FENLEIYIJISHUDAOYUANZE。JINYIBUWANSHANXIANHUOSHICHANG,FENGFUJIAOYIPINZHONG,TEBIESHILINGHUOXINGZIYUANHEBEIYONGZIYUANJIAOYIPINZHONG。JIANLIRONGLIANGSHICHANGHUORONGLIANGCHENGBENBUCHANGJIZHI,BAOZHANGFADIANQIYEHELILIYI。

  SANSHIJIAKUAIHEWANSHANTANSHICHANGJIANSHE。GENJUTANDAFENG、TANZHONGHEYAOQIU,WANSHANQUANGUOTANSHICHANGPEIEFENPEIFANGAN,KEXUECESUANQUANGUOTANSHICHANGFADIANXINGYEPEIEZONGLIANGHEJIZHUNZHI,ANZHAOMEIDIANZAIDIANLIXITONGZHONGDEGONGNENGDINGWEI,YISHICHANGJIZHIGENGHAOFAHUIMEIDIANDEDOUDIBAOGONGHELINGHUOXINGDIAOJIEDIANYUANZUOYONG。WANSHANJIAOYIJIZHIHEGUIZE,JINKUAIFABUZHONGGUOHEZHENGJIANPAILIANG(CCER)DIXIAOJIZHI,TUIDONGFADIANQIYECONGJITUANHEQIYECENGMIANJIJICANYUTANJIAOYI,SHIXIANDICHENGBENJIANPAIHEJISHUCHUANGXIN。

  ZHUSHI:

  SIDAGAOZAINENGXINGYEBAOKUO: HUAXUEYUANLIAOHEHUAXUEZHIPINZHIZAOYE、FEIJINSHUKUANGWUZHIPINYE、HEISEJINSHUYELIANHEYAYANJIAGONGYE、YOUSEJINSHUYELIANHEYAYANJIAGONGYE4GEXINGYE。

  GAOJISHUJIZHUANGBEIZHIZAOYEBAOKUO: YIYAOZHIZAOYE、JINSHUZHIPINYE、TONGYONGSHEBEIZHIZAOYE、ZHUANYONGSHEBEIZHIZAOYE、QICHEZHIZAOYE、TIELU/CHUANBO/HANGKONGHANGTIANHEQITAYUNSHUSHEBEIZHIZAOYE、DIANQIJIXIEHEQICAIZHIZAOYE、JISUANJI/TONGXINHEQITADIANZISHEBEIZHIZAOYE、YIQIYIBIAOZHIZAOYE9GEXINGYE。

  XIAOFEIPINZHIZAOYEBAOKUO: NONGFUSHIPINJIAGONGYE、SHIPINZHIZAOYE、JIU/YINLIAOJIJINGZHICHAZHIZAOYE、YANCAOZHIPINYE、FANGZHIYE、FANGZHIFUZHUANG、FUSHIYE、PIGE/MAOPI/YUMAOJIQIZHIPINHEZHIXIEYE、MUCAIJIAGONGHEMU/ZHU/TENG/ZONG/CAOZHIPINYE、JIAJUZHIZAOYE、ZAOZHIHEZHIZHIPINYE、YINSHUAHEJILUMEIJIEFUZHIYE、WENJIAO/GONGMEI/TIYUHEYULEYONGPINZHIZAOYE12GEXINGYE。

  QITAZHIZAOXINGYEWEIZHIZAOYEYONGDIANFENLEIDE31GEXINGYEZHONG,CHUSIDAGAOZAINENGXINGYE、GAOJISHUJIZHUANGBEIZHIZAOYE、XIAOFEIPINXINGYEZHIWAIDEQITAXINGYE,BAOKUO: SHIYOU/MEITANJIQITARANLIAOJIAGONGYE、HUAXUEXIANWEIZHIZAOYE、XIANGJIAOHESULIAOZHIPINYE、QITAZHIZAOYE、FEIQIZIYUANZONGHELIYONGYE、JINSHUZHIPIN/JIXIEHESHEBEIXIULIYE6GEXINGYE。

  DONGBUDIQUBAOKUOBEIJING、TIANJIN、HEBEI、SHANGHAI、JIANGSU、ZHEJIANG、FUJIAN、SHANDONG、GUANGDONG、HAINAN10GESHENG(SHI);ZHONGBUDIQUBAOKUOSHANXI、ANHUI、JIANGXI、HENAN、HUBEI、HUNAN6GESHENG;XIBUDIQUBAOKUONEIMENGGU、GUANGXI、ZHONGQING、SICHUAN、GUIZHOU、YUNNAN、XIZANG、SHANXI、GANSU、QINGHAI、NINGXIA、XINJIANG12GESHENG(SHI、ZIZHIQU);DONGBEIDIQUBAOKUOLIAONING、JILIN、HEILONGJIANG3GESHENG。

  ZHU: JIEXUANZIZHONGDIANLIANDIANLITONGJIYUSHUJUZHONGXINDE《2020-2021NIANDUQUANGUODIANLIGONGXUXINGSHIFENXIYUCEBAOGAO》

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地址: 湖北省武汉市洪山区徐东大街73号 传真: 邮编: 430077 鄂ICP备11008625号 公安部备案号420
 
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